MD_DA830 DA MD DA830 Cheese - Midwest MADISON, WI. February 08, 2012 (REPORT 6) MIDWEST CHEESE: Weakness prevails in cheese markets. This is widely believed to be a factor of increased milk supplies during an unusually mild winter in many areas, weaker retail sales, and low export interest. Cheese price weakness is illustrated by considering last week's CME average for blocks, $1.4965, being $0.2820 below the same week in 2011 and $0.066 below the close of 2011. For barrels, last week's average, $1.4925, is $.2485 below week 5 of last year and $.0775 below week 52 of 2011. By this Wednesday's CME close, both blocks and barrels were $1.4750, with barrels down $0.0200 this week so far and blocks down $0.0100. Many cheese manufacturers report strong milk supply availability, at discount prices well under Class prices. In some cases, milk is so readily available at a favorable price that cheese for inventory building and aging programs is being manufactured to ease capacity demands on powder plants by firms which both manufacture cheese and operate drying operations. With slower retail ordering, cheese inventories are building. Some retail ordering is believed to have been delayed by prospective buyers who have decided to step back in expectation of some further price weakness. Government procurement orders for cheese barrels continue to keep some manufacturers of cheese barrels busy. Pepper Jack sales continue to be cited as particularly strong among the varieties of cheese. The demand is believed to be fueled by featured sandwiches in various chains of sub sandwich stores. Other manufacturers cite particularly strong sales of hard Italian varieties such as Asiago and Parmesan. There is little current reported cheese export interest. One source characterized export interest as being in the doldrums. NASS reports that total national cheese output for December 2011 was 929 million pounds, 2.4% above December 2010 and 4.2% above November 2011. Total Central region cheese production in December 2011, 409.3 million pounds, was 44% of the national total. Central region December 2011 total cheese production and percentage of the total for the six separately listed Central states, in descending volume, includes Wisconsin, 230.2 million pounds, 65.9%; Minnesota, 52.1 million pounds, 14.9%; South Dakota, 23.4 million pounds, 6.7%; Iowa, 22.3 million pounds, 6.4%; Ohio, 16.3 million pounds, 4.7%; and Illinois, 5.0 million pounds, 1.4%. Wisconsin wholesale prices for Grade A Swiss Cuts adjusted down following the decrease in the Class III price announced last Friday when January Class and Component Prices were released. Process cheese adjusted up slightly following last week's CME weekly average increase for barrels and down for the remaining varieties driven by the decline in blocks. WISCONSIN WHOLESALE SELLING PRICES: DELIVERED, DOLLARS PER POUND (1000 - 5000 POUNDS MIXED LOTS) Process American 5# Loaf : 1.8525-2.3600 Brick And/Or Muenster 5# : 2.0025-2.4400 Cheddar 40# Block : 2.0025-2.8650 Monterey Jack 10# : 1.9725-2.8650 Blue 5# : 2.2675-3.1300 Mozzarella 5 - 6# (Low Moisture, Part Skim): 1.8475-2.9650 Grade A Swiss Cuts 6 - 9# : 3.0125-3.3300 1:00 eric.graf@usda.gov